0x583282c1c6Ac1547d4B1948f610706911e18df89-1778481156933
0x583282c1c6ac1547d4b1948f610706911e18df89
- Realised P&L
- $-244.26
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 203
- Open portfolio
- $23.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded203
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.995 | $13.33 | +$3.68 |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.275 | $6.88 | −$3.63 |
| Will Robin Peguero be the FL-27 Democratic nominee? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.090 | $3.60 | −$4.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.04at 0.309Will FBC Melgar win on 2026-05-22?
- +$16.57at 0.265Will Renofa Yamaguchi FC win on 2026-05-23?
- +$16.50at 0.676Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Draw at halftime?
- +$10.98at 0.400Will Jennifer Austria Barzaga win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives?
- +$10.00at 0.800Will PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv win on 2026-05-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 05:10 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.65 |
| 07-25 05:09 | Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee? | SELL | 0.22 | $5.50 |
| 07-25 05:07 | Will Jennifer Austria Barzaga win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives? | SELL | 0.949 | $18.98 |
| 07-24 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 08:30 | Syria leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.907 | $1.02 |
| 06-08 08:30 | Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09? | SELL | 0.987 | $10.89 |
| 06-08 08:29 | Will Syria win on 2026-06-09? | SELL | 0.992 | $3.89 |
| 06-08 08:29 | Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.24 |
| 06-08 08:29 | Bahrain vs. Syria: Draw at halftime? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.02 |
| 06-08 08:28 | Will Northern Ireland vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.08 |
| 06-08 08:28 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-09? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.07 |
| 06-08 01:09 | Syria leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.2099999652 | $3.74 |
| 06-08 01:09 | Bahrain vs. Syria: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.57 |
| 06-08 01:09 | Bahrain leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.94 | $15.67 |
| 06-08 00:58 | Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |