PolyBot

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0x582369021990804cb14DE6e3b05d9D1FCE019e77-1771589668225

0x582369021990804cb14de6e3b05d9d1fce019e77

Realised P&L
$-376.98
Volume
$14.1k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$35.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.4100.335$34.32$7.68
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 6? · Yes0.0760.013$0.82$4.18
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.0800.000$0.00$9.94
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$15.48
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00$30.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00$15.00
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$4.97
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$3.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$3.00
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$3.00
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? · No0.0210.000$0.00$9.12
France vs. England: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$4.98
Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No0.1900.000$0.00$15.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 14:23Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.08$9.94
07-18 21:21France vs. England: Draw at halftime?BUY0.0899999841$4.98
07-12 02:13Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?BUY0.1299999627$3.00
07-12 02:13Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?BUY0.08$3.00
07-07 17:34Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceBUY0.1699999378$1.94
07-01 21:59Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.0149999901$1.48
07-01 21:58Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.022$2.87
07-01 20:31Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.4699999829$14.00
06-25 00:52Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 6?BUY0.0759999867$5.00
06-25 00:51Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.4099999958$42.00
06-16 08:19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.12$6.26
06-16 08:19Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.2$10.86
06-14 11:22Israel closes its airspace by June 15?SELL0.9326308295$52.40
06-08 10:29Israel closes its airspace by June 15?BUY0.5873303165$33.00
06-08 10:28Israel closes its airspace by June 30?SELL0.57$33.72