0x582369021990804cb14DE6e3b05d9D1FCE019e77-1771589668225
0x582369021990804cb14de6e3b05d9d1fce019e77
- Realised P&L
- $-376.98
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $35.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.87at 0.154Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$81.88at 0.150Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$60.71at 0.664Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
- +$36.60at 0.560Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?
- +$29.81at 0.270Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 14:23 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $9.94 |
| 07-18 21:21 | France vs. England: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.0899999841 | $4.98 |
| 07-12 02:13 | Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland? | BUY | 0.1299999627 | $3.00 |
| 07-12 02:13 | Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 07-07 17:34 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1699999378 | $1.94 |
| 07-01 21:59 | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.0149999901 | $1.48 |
| 07-01 21:58 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.022 | $2.87 |
| 07-01 20:31 | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.4699999829 | $14.00 |
| 06-25 00:52 | Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 6? | BUY | 0.0759999867 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 00:51 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4099999958 | $42.00 |
| 06-16 08:19 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $6.26 |
| 06-16 08:19 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $10.86 |
| 06-14 11:22 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.9326308295 | $52.40 |
| 06-08 10:29 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.5873303165 | $33.00 |
| 06-08 10:28 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.57 | $33.72 |