0x57D6862e9a0d025c88d55Fe41577D5E9Dfb840D0-1771787156313
0x57d6862e9a0d025c88d55fe41577d5e9dfb840d0
- Realised P&L
- $-299.76
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 503
- Open portfolio
- $355.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded503
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? · No | 0.177 | 0.250 | $355.25 | +$103.13 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET · Down | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.56 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.27at 0.515Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
- +$23.45at 0.514Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
- +$22.60at 0.510Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
- +$22.13at 0.531Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$21.55at 0.509Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 17:15 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 06-09 05:30 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999814 | $4.56 |
| 06-09 05:15 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999909 | $4.56 |
| 06-09 05:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999863 | $4.48 |
| 06-07 00:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.529999952 | $4.64 |
| 06-06 23:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.529999952 | $4.64 |
| 06-05 02:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.529078791 | $4.48 |
| 06-05 02:30 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999863 | $4.48 |
| 06-05 02:15 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.95 |
| 06-04 18:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999909 | $4.56 |
| 06-04 17:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999909 | $4.56 |
| 06-03 14:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999863 | $4.48 |
| 06-03 14:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999863 | $4.48 |
| 06-03 13:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999863 | $4.48 |
| 06-03 10:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.95 |