0x57c348d9f807548a2f8f900b6443dd44a0032be9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.09
- Volume
- $339.33
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $14.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.595 | $12.40 | +$2.40 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.165 | $1.98 | −$0.78 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.190 | $0.57 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.61at 0.560Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$1.99at 0.810S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 20?
- +$1.53at 0.570Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$1.40at 0.590Will France win on 2026-07-14?
- +$1.28at 0.580Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 07:30 | Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 11:24 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.76 |
| 07-30 13:32 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.69 |
| 07-29 22:15 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $170 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999377 | $1.86 |
| 07-28 22:37 | Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.619999895 | $1.89 |
| 07-27 14:21 | Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.5699999607 | $2.03 |
| 07-27 01:16 | Will Wingstop (WING) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7699999803 | $1.95 |
| 07-26 13:16 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-26 01:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21499995 | $2.75 |
| 07-25 13:12 | Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.6899999542 | $1.96 |
| 07-25 01:12 | Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.42 | $1.26 |
| 07-24 02:23 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $4.95 |
| 07-24 02:23 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.06 |
| 07-24 02:23 | Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference? | SELL | 0.2613140888 | $12.13 |
| 07-24 02:23 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.749 | $12.52 |