0x572B804ac77F7413501bE2E73911421A57a7B1F9-1765927092187
0x572b804ac77f7413501be2e73911421a57a7b1f9
- Realised P&L
- $-14.71
- Volume
- $609.46
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $2.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.051 | $2.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of January? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 5? · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of January? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $280 end of January? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 end of January? · Yes | 0.332 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 end of January? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.99at 0.200Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $230-$235 in 2025?
- +$5.64at 0.510Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 5?
- +$3.38at 0.470Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $480–500 in 2025?
- +$3.00at 0.250Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185–190 in 2025?
- +$1.80at 0.520Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on January 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-09 18:13 | Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0519318654 | $3.00 |
| 01-09 18:10 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.1189999525 | $2.00 |
| 01-07 08:09 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of January? | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 01-07 08:08 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 end of January? | BUY | 0.331707304 | $10.00 |
| 01-07 08:07 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 end of January? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 01-07 08:07 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of January? | BUY | 0.0919999183 | $1.00 |
| 01-07 08:07 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $280 end of January? | BUY | 0.0204545258 | $1.00 |
| 01-05 21:06 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on January 5? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.80 |
| 01-05 21:02 | Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 5? | SELL | 0.99 | $11.64 |
| 01-05 20:52 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 5? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.31 |
| 01-05 20:33 | Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.77 |
| 01-04 17:19 | Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 01-04 09:31 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 5? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 01-04 09:26 | Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 5? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 01-04 09:25 | Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 5? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |