rnnn
0x56fbd5871e3914d78b7bf9f6175f421b6e5bd610
- Realised P&L
- $237.49
- Volume
- $150.3k
- Markets traded
- 4,533
- Open portfolio
- $232.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,533
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$384.00at 0.040Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
- +$267.00at 0.110Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
- +$258.00at 0.140Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
- +$216.99at 0.277Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
- +$198.00at 0.340Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 21:35 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.89 |
| 08-03 21:35 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 08-03 21:35 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 08-03 18:55 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 18:55 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 18:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-03 16:49 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 16:44 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.59 | $4.72 |
| 08-03 16:41 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 13:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.32 |
| 08-03 13:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 08-03 09:39 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 08:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.28 | $3.64 |
| 08-03 06:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 08-03 06:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |