Marejs
0x56d5941c4ac2dde3dbeda0296173ea53aa9046e1
- Realised P&L
- $4.91
- Volume
- $98.60
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $59.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.940 | $20.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.963 | $15.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.950 | $12.23 | +$0.26 |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.930 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.915 | $4.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.825 | $1.61 | +$0.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.49at 0.690Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
- +$-0.56at 0.058Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 17:36 | Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.05 |
| 04-25 16:30 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.6899995911 | $1.35 |
| 04-25 12:17 | Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999705 | $11.97 |
| 04-17 16:16 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 04-17 16:16 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 04-17 16:16 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 04-17 16:16 | Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 04-17 16:16 | Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 04-17 16:16 | Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 04-17 16:16 | Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 04-17 16:05 | Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999043 | $5.00 |
| 04-17 12:12 | Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.949999962 | $5.00 |
| 04-17 01:02 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899998965 | $5.00 |
| 04-17 01:01 | Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? | BUY | 0.058 | $0.61 |
| 04-16 16:55 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |