0x5680efb4d6c464b3dc1989bcba868628b1b7d02d
- Realised P&L
- $-17.95
- Volume
- $743.43
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $13.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" or "Subscribed" during his next YouTube video? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.510 | $7.54 | −$0.74 |
| Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 5+ times during his next YouTube video? · Yes | 0.785 | 0.790 | $6.12 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.44at 0.590Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?
- +$7.54at 0.300Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$3.59at 0.740Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$0.16at 0.973Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?
- +$0.12at 0.969Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 10:05 | Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 5+ times during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.7852760736 | $6.08 |
| 08-03 10:05 | Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" or "Subscribed" during his next YouTube video? | BUY | 0.5599999811 | $8.28 |
| 06-03 13:31 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199999952 | $17.22 |
| 06-03 13:27 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.321 | $4.45 |
| 06-03 13:27 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.39 | $9.51 |
| 06-03 13:27 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.162 | $4.36 |
| 06-03 10:40 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.31 |
| 06-03 10:40 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3329999729 | $4.62 |
| 06-03 10:40 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.39 | $9.51 |
| 05-22 05:55 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4599999943 | $22.43 |
| 05-20 10:01 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? | BUY | 0.58999999 | $13.59 |
| 04-15 07:46 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.30 |
| 04-14 11:15 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7149999609 | $10.40 |
| 04-10 21:00 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.2999999536 | $3.23 |
| 04-10 20:59 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.0254877279 | $3.23 |