PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x56546De2C867C2B40FDb138cd20f8dE4b4bDb33E-1760020008966

0x56546de2c867c2b40fdb138cd20f8de4b4bdb33e

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$232.2k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1640.506$955.40+$645.31
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3530.065$214.43$951.57
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0100.002$29.77$173.29
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$92.87
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? · Yes0.1270.000$0.00$16.82
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00$3.00
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$60.00
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? · Yes0.6630.000$0.00$903.40
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? · No0.7470.000$0.00$396.97
Iran leadership change by June 30? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$510.00
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? · Yes0.1210.000$0.00$5.17
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$200.00
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? · Yes0.5280.000$0.00$910.40
James Comey arrested by May 15? · No0.2070.000$0.00$587.00
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31? · No0.7600.000$0.00$244.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 02:52Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.377$207.35
07-02 02:51Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.378$121.69
07-02 02:51Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.3800167826$145.37
07-02 02:49Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?SELL0.66$556.38
07-02 02:48Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?SELL0.67$301.50
07-01 14:30Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.4$1.2k
07-01 14:29Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.401$568.56
07-01 14:29Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.402$2.01
07-01 14:28Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.402$523.63
07-01 14:28Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.403$2.53
07-01 14:28Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.403$469.81
07-01 14:27Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.404$412.08
07-01 14:27Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.405$303.87
07-01 14:26Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.406$213.99
06-23 16:01Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?BUY0.67$3.35