PolyBot

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Traders

Satoshi..

0x564a61772f5fde1c3e0806e814a193983c2f8871

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$631.3k
Markets traded
6,164
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,164
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 20:35Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on August 5?SELL0.998$44.46
08-04 19:00Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 5?BUY0.9897796454$42.99
08-04 18:51Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 4?SELL0.9354004906$244.07
08-04 15:35Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on August 5?SELL0.9986893032$22.50
08-04 13:05Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on August 4?SELL0.998$4.99
08-04 11:34Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 5?SELL0.99$58.99
08-04 09:25Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C or higher on August 6?SELL0.99$4.95
08-04 08:05Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 4?SELL0.999$20.10
08-04 04:35Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 6?BUY0.9834848485$11.68
08-03 21:26Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 4?SELL0.99$62.99
08-03 19:00Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 4?BUY0.9897697444$42.99
08-03 18:31Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 3?SELL0.9806813263$42.59
08-03 17:34Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on August 3?SELL0.983606882$60.60
08-03 17:31Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on August 3?SELL0.8885833333$10.66
08-03 17:31Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on August 3?SELL0.8898510575$29.87