Bkevin46
0x56026d2414c562632ea5e3a51f1071dac901c12b
- Realised P&L
- $5.1k
- Volume
- $66.6k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $109.91
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.984 | 0.992 | $29.75 | +$0.23 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.983 | 0.982 | $29.45 | −$0.04 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.981 | $29.41 | +$0.55 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.975 | $20.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.013 | $1.04 | −$8.58 |
| Will Jacy Todd win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.16 |
| Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.032Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
- +$870.40at 0.044Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?
- +$662.39at 0.062Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?
- +$519.50at 0.047US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
- +$448.90at 0.064Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 02:42 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.9619999866 | $20.00 |
| 05-14 02:41 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.993 | $29.79 |
| 04-18 00:34 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.994 | $29.82 |
| 04-18 00:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $29.49 |
| 04-18 00:34 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.962 | $28.86 |
| 04-18 00:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $29.52 |
| 03-25 04:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 03-25 04:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 01-14 23:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January? | BUY | 0.99 | $16.31 |
| 01-14 23:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 01-14 23:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 01-14 23:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 01-14 23:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | BUY | 0.997 | $39.88 |
| 01-14 22:11 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1644444444 | $14.80 |
| 01-14 22:07 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $7.60 |