0x55d0caf2a03eb907b019cc9b655267987e383e84
- Realised P&L
- $0.05
- Volume
- $121.00
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $13.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.999 | $3.07 | +$1.07 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $385 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.620 | $2.88 | +$0.88 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.999 | $2.66 | +$0.66 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.835 | $2.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.575 | $1.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.114 | $0.76 | −$1.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.06at 0.330Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$1.95at 0.480Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.75 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$1.94at 0.507Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?
- +$1.89at 0.370Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$1.13at 0.630NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:13 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 04:13 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $385 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 08:12 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 23:42 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 23:41 | Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 15:39 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 07:27 | Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 23:25 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999736 | $1.77 |
| 08-01 23:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 15:13 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 03:03 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $1.86 |
| 07-31 18:56 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-31 10:55 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999508 | $1.98 |
| 07-31 02:34 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-30 18:00 | Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.83 |