gro8dl8yl67v
0x55bd8678de17b6e6d285baa65616776e0bdf9bfa
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $25.0k
- Markets traded
- 212
- Open portfolio
- $8.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded212
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.105 | $5.25 | +$2.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.075 | $2.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.065 | $0.85 | −$2.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.016Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 15°C or below on March 13?
- +$82.33at 0.057Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C or below on March 14?
- +$56.93at 0.136Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 1?
- +$49.51at 0.357Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 26?
- +$35.45at 0.220Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2299999456 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.1168949965 | $8.29 |
| 08-04 00:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0896834175 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 17:57 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0899999736 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.75 |
| 08-03 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.17 |
| 08-03 12:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.01 |
| 08-03 12:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.02 |
| 08-03 12:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.02 |
| 08-03 12:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.01 |
| 08-03 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.02 |
| 08-03 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.01 |
| 08-03 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.02 |