pollydude10
0x557aeafc0b53183d2d9810b824cdd15ef1da9b21
- Realised P&L
- $-128.70
- Volume
- $38.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,393
- Open portfolio
- $58.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,393
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Dallas Wings (-11.5) · Connecticut Sun | 0.530 | 0.545 | $10.50 | +$0.29 |
| National Bank Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaier · Aleksandar Vukic | 0.600 | 0.605 | $9.62 | +$0.08 |
| Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5) · Connecticut Sun | 0.500 | 0.505 | $9.44 | +$0.09 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner · Team Liquid | 0.560 | 0.505 | $8.45 | −$0.92 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner · Team Liquid | 0.570 | 0.505 | $8.30 | −$1.07 |
| Team Liquid to win 2-0? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.020 | $5.00 | +$4.00 |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-02? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.205 | $3.60 | −$5.36 |
| LGD Gaming to win 2-0? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.013 | $3.38 | +$2.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.92at 0.268Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?
- +$36.78at 0.410Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5
- +$36.32at 0.340LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- +$28.72at 0.110Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?
- +$28.30at 0.150LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:15 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.56 | $10.11 |
| 08-02 19:13 | LGD Gaming to win 2-0? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:11 | Team Liquid to win 2-0? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:08 | Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5) | SELL | 0.99 | $21.26 |
| 08-02 19:01 | Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.5099999852 | $8.96 |
| 08-02 18:11 | Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5) | SELL | 0.25 | $4.67 |
| 08-02 17:51 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5699999909 | $9.37 |
| 08-02 17:51 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5599999761 | $9.37 |
| 08-02 17:31 | Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $9.35 |
| 08-02 16:46 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.5199999823 | $9.39 |
| 08-02 16:41 | Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5) | BUY | 0.509999992 | $9.52 |
| 08-02 15:56 | CD Concepción vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4899999846 | $9.52 |
| 08-02 15:56 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.4799999818 | $9.52 |
| 08-02 15:46 | National Bank Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Viktorija Golubic | BUY | 0.5099999877 | $9.53 |
| 08-02 15:36 | National Bank Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaier | BUY | 0.6 | $9.54 |