0x557694A8378288206791d1630618244191c05bf1-1770605564135
0x557694a8378288206791d1630618244191c05bf1
- Realised P&L
- $-565.82
- Volume
- $95.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $424.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes | 0.311 | 0.055 | $424.78 | −$2.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.2kat 0.559US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.435US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$784.41at 0.522US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$677.08at 0.407US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
- +$-3.5kat 0.742Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-19 13:21 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.3107713271 | $2.4k |
| 03-09 21:25 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | SELL | 0.1311032977 | $84.08 |
| 03-09 21:24 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | SELL | 0.2228204134 | $1.7k |
| 03-09 21:23 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | SELL | 0.1234407445 | $624.07 |
| 03-09 04:13 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | BUY | 0.7349111928 | $529.78 |
| 03-09 04:06 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | BUY | 0.7666648504 | $700.00 |
| 03-09 04:04 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | BUY | 0.7456653281 | $100.00 |
| 03-09 04:03 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | BUY | 0.7448588353 | $500.00 |
| 03-09 04:00 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | BUY | 0.8525707259 | $500.00 |
| 03-09 03:59 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | BUY | 0.8539427469 | $1.8k |
| 03-09 03:58 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | BUY | 0.8548536952 | $2.0k |
| 03-09 03:58 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | BUY | 0.8547525961 | $2.2k |
| 03-09 03:57 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | BUY | 0.7367139158 | $2.4k |
| 02-28 06:57 | US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.2k |
| 02-28 06:56 | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.9600009638 | $14.9k |