DarleneDelacruz8727
0x54f2fab01471b41048433cebedc23239803d55d9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $112.9k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $799.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.650 | 0.675 | $408.38 | +$15.13 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? · No | 0.898 | 1.000 | $391.00 | +$39.88 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$259.90at 0.270Will G2 Esports qualify to MSI 2026?
- +$150.48at 0.620Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
- +$103.72at 0.810Will Trump say "Inflation" while addressing the nation on December 17?
- +$80.20at 0.440Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
- +$57.20at 0.510Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 08:26 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $86.24 |
| 04-23 11:21 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $84.28 |
| 04-23 08:19 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.898 | $351.12 |
| 03-30 17:15 | Will FC Zlín win on 2026-04-18? | SELL | 0.21 | $116.76 |
| 03-30 15:28 | Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026 | SELL | 0.27 | $101.79 |
| 03-30 15:26 | Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026 | SELL | 0.27 | $191.70 |
| 03-30 15:06 | FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires? | SELL | 0.37 | $64.38 |
| 03-30 03:15 | FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires? | BUY | 0.39 | $67.86 |
| 03-30 02:35 | Will FC Zlín win on 2026-04-18? | BUY | 0.51 | $283.56 |
| 03-30 00:45 | Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026 | BUY | 0.29 | $310.01 |
| 03-24 08:05 | Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? | SELL | 0.72 | $98.64 |
| 03-23 02:22 | Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? | BUY | 0.76 | $104.12 |
| 03-18 13:38 | Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $247.28 |
| 03-18 04:56 | Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $247.28 |
| 03-16 02:29 | Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.35 | $81.90 |