0x54d1ecb6665dd729a0d8f827af75f8a1a176b6f3
- Realised P&L
- $-185.99
- Volume
- $37.4k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $10.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.41at 0.150Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?
- +$11.10at 0.230Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
- +$10.83at 0.528Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
- +$10.54at 0.681Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$7.70at 0.230Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-30 00:05 | Will Texas win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.118 | $5.45 |
| 03-30 00:05 | Will UConn win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.7 | $5.45 |
| 03-29 18:28 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.69 | $12.50 |
| 03-29 15:59 | Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.021 | $5.00 |
| 03-29 15:59 | Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 03-29 15:59 | Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.043 | $5.00 |
| 03-29 15:59 | Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.146 | $5.00 |
| 03-29 15:59 | Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.37 | $5.00 |
| 03-29 13:40 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division? | BUY | 0.761 | $4.30 |
| 03-29 13:40 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.30 |
| 03-29 13:26 | Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.559 | $2.12 |
| 03-29 13:26 | Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.424 | $2.12 |
| 03-29 11:16 | Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? | BUY | 0.093 | $7.72 |
| 03-29 11:16 | Will the San Jose Sharks win the Pacific Division? | BUY | 0.002 | $8.33 |
| 03-29 11:16 | Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division? | BUY | 0.22 | $8.33 |