0x54c90e9335aad030cec12f9e91e389427ca0c899
- Realised P&L
- $-8.05
- Volume
- $36.25
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $1.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-22.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.645 | $1.75 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.28at 0.580Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?
- +$1.10at 0.640Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$0.57at 0.720Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?
- +$0.49at 0.760Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks?
- +$-0.01at 0.502Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 02:06 | Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6999997053 | $1.90 |
| 07-30 08:07 | Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.5799999907 | $10.03 |
| 07-29 01:28 | Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5799998886 | $1.77 |
| 07-28 13:35 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5019999626 | $1.53 |
| 07-27 22:14 | Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.95 |
| 07-27 04:07 | Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.7599999408 | $1.54 |
| 07-26 16:06 | Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.4299999015 | $1.31 |
| 07-26 04:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.46 |