PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

lieberallein

0x54c581a308343c28cf741093c5911070e1d1a121

Realised P&L
$-387.83
Volume
$18.6k
Markets traded
331
Open portfolio
$562.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded331
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 23:29Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.66$4.63
07-14 14:44Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?SELL0.83$14.56
07-09 15:38Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?BUY0.5699999966$10.00
07-08 23:28Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?SELL0.81$16.20
07-08 23:26Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.91$80.86
07-08 23:22Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6343793955$10.00
07-07 20:44Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?SELL0.66$110.17
07-07 13:40Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?SELL0.8$4.21
07-05 12:23Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?BUY0.4199999899$10.00
07-01 12:54Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.9$10.00
06-20 10:21Starmer out by June 26, 2026?BUY0.5799999861$10.00
06-19 13:02Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.6899999869$10.00
06-18 14:59Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?BUY0.1011085083$10.00
06-15 15:00Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?SELL0.94$14.10
06-13 14:20Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?BUY0.6666666667$10.00