flook
0x548bcd24d5926761bbbfd98d4950d5b7066e8390
- Realised P&L
- $-9.1k
- Volume
- $784.8k
- Markets traded
- 490
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded490
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.779Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$1.1kat 0.881US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.735Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$869.76at 0.876Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$729.21at 0.886France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 00:04 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.509755 | $305.85 |
| 07-12 01:22 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.7724999996 | $310.00 |
| 07-11 18:27 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5749999986 | $140.00 |
| 07-11 18:26 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5024999978 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 02:51 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 02:50 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1399999956 | $25.00 |
| 07-07 19:32 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6299999995 | $300.00 |
| 07-07 19:30 | Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3399999978 | $100.00 |
| 07-06 01:03 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.32 | $200.00 |
| 06-05 03:48 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.6699999998 | $500.00 |
| 05-28 21:06 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | SELL | 0.5749964141 | $240.52 |
| 05-27 17:23 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.2820741286 | $394.90 |
| 05-26 18:41 | Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier | BUY | 0.6139112284 | $200.00 |
| 05-23 18:27 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6455192143 | $903.73 |
| 05-23 04:43 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $300.00 |