rogueEsper
0x541e0d537aac47f6ecef9b4d1a7252610aef800d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $741.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-26.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes | 0.607 | 0.803 | $739.28 | +$180.63 |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6? · No | 0.732 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$791.04at 0.161Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-04 22:53 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6? | BUY | 0.6770620345 | $1.6k |
| 02-04 01:45 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6? | BUY | 0.8133589328 | $1.3k |
| 02-04 01:22 | Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | BUY | 0.6068050515 | $1000.00 |
| 01-30 00:33 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.80 |
| 01-29 23:26 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.27 |
| 01-29 23:24 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 01-29 23:23 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31? | BUY | 0.1644444444 | $2.96 |
| 01-29 23:23 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $28.00 |
| 01-29 23:23 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $4.55 |
| 01-29 23:23 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.49 |
| 01-28 19:43 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $6.29 |
| 01-28 19:42 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.91 |
| 01-28 19:40 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.77 |
| 01-28 19:25 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $70.00 |