PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

niugege

0x538a8b0a48122ea5c3f817a872053f08cc114bc8

Realised P&L
$-6.39
Volume
$7.7k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$14.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 1? · Yes0.9991.000$14.11+$0.01
Rutgers vs. Washington · Rutgers0.2300.000$0.00$2.00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? · No0.0030.000$0.00$4.10
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.50
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 10:10Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 1?BUY0.999$14.10
08-01 10:06Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.003$1.61
06-08 09:23Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 8?BUY0.9989999905$95.00
06-01 09:43Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 1?BUY0.9989999905$95.00
05-23 03:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?BUY0.9989999905$95.00
05-17 10:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?BUY0.998$95.00
05-13 06:40Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?BUY0.9989999905$95.00
05-07 11:33Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?BUY0.9989999905$95.00
05-04 10:38Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.999$95.00
04-26 09:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?BUY0.999$94.99
04-23 12:30Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?BUY0.999$93.99
04-18 08:04Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 18?BUY0.999$93.99
04-15 07:30Will the highest temperature in New York City be 98°F or higher on April 15?BUY0.999$93.99
04-10 09:28Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 10?BUY0.999$93.99
04-03 09:43Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 3?BUY0.999$93.99