PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

PoorScriptedBot

0x5367875599a98c3e7d58f4e1f9625817e85c6aa5

Realised P&L
$18.15
Volume
$386.65
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$15.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? · Yes0.1900.700$3.68+$2.68
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.8190.825$1.66+$0.01
Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026? · Yes0.7960.756$1.60$0.08
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? · No0.9500.939$0.99$0.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.895$0.98$0.02
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · No0.8800.865$0.98$0.02
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8900.865$0.97$0.03
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · No0.8200.775$0.95$0.05
Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat? · Yes0.1700.160$0.94$0.06
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1600.135$0.84$0.16
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.4900.325$0.66$0.34
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1000.050$0.50$0.50
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.155$0.42$0.58
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$5.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 21:34Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.037$0.60
07-31 21:34Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0865066667$0.65
07-31 21:32Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$0.94
07-31 20:50Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-31 20:49Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?BUY0.7959999981$1.68
07-31 20:48Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0529999513$1.00
07-31 20:48Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$1.00
07-31 20:47Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1333333333$1.00
07-31 20:46Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?BUY0.8799995072$1.00
07-31 20:45Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.8199999602$1.65
07-19 18:28Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.58999999$16.60
07-10 19:20Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.5824998238$1.00
07-10 19:19Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.75$2.00
07-09 11:09Bank of England rate hike in 2026?SELL0.7$1.69
07-09 11:09Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?SELL0.79$1.82