0x536075898ec928492dcd70efb372e641EEdE1F6F-1766758836161
0x536075898ec928492dcd70efb372e641eede1f6f
- Realised P&L
- $-61.9k
- Volume
- $7.73M
- Markets traded
- 549
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded549
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.135 | $859.00 | +$95.44 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · Yes | 0.256 | 0.265 | $510.19 | +$18.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 2? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.017 | $171.87 | −$150.98 |
| Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on August 2? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.032 | $91.64 | −$21.71 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.004 | $38.45 | −$87.54 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on August 2? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.006 | $31.60 | −$27.27 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 2? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.004 | $22.39 | −$62.08 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on August 2? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.004 | $19.20 | −$69.60 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $8.51 | −$40.51 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $3.62 | −$21.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.2kat 0.117Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19?
- +$4.5kat 0.084Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?
- +$3.6kat 0.027Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 January 26-1?
- +$3.1kat 0.048Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?
- +$2.6kat 0.099Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 13-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 15:39 | Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on August 2? | BUY | 0.035 | $1.34 |
| 08-02 15:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.18 |
| 08-02 15:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.97 |
| 08-02 15:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.0249008505 | $125.63 |
| 08-02 15:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.022 | $0.31 |
| 08-02 15:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.005 | $14.91 |
| 08-02 15:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.26 | $282.94 |
| 08-02 15:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? | BUY | 0.12 | $94.63 |
| 08-02 15:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.25 | $190.00 |
| 08-02 09:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.017 | $8.92 |
| 08-02 09:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.014 | $6.86 |
| 08-02 09:16 | Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on August 2? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.13 |
| 08-02 09:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.003 | $48.00 |
| 08-02 09:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.004 | $20.47 |
| 08-02 09:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.035 | $0.36 |