PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Winnnnnnning

0x533c789d479d445186ff8ec132fa7a27541c2658

Realised P&L
$-153.3k
Volume
$3.67M
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? · No0.6210.665$1.0k+$69.26
Will Europe Win the WSOP Main Event · No0.8730.845$995.41$33.10
Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event · Yes0.7370.835$284.74+$33.42
Will Freddy Deeb cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? · No0.9720.991$132.73+$2.42
Will William Foxen win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? · Yes0.2430.365$29.93+$10.01
Will Justin Liberto win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? · Yes0.0070.037$0.60+$0.48
Will Joshua Arieh win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? · Yes0.0070.037$0.60+$0.48
Will Jesse Lonis win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? · Yes0.0070.037$0.60+$0.48
Will Michael J Moncek win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? · Yes0.0070.037$0.60+$0.48
Will Daniel Negreanu win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? · Yes0.0070.037$0.60+$0.48
Will Martin Kabrhel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? · Yes0.0200.001$0.04$1.56
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$320.89
Will Rick Devens be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week? · Yes0.7860.000$0.00$78.65
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 · Under0.6100.000$0.00$42.7k
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · No0.7020.000$0.00$157.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:17Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.31$3.5k
08-02 04:50Will Michael J Moncek win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?BUY0.007398773$0.12
08-02 04:48Will Joshua Arieh win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?BUY0.007398773$0.12
08-02 04:48Will Daniel Negreanu win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?BUY0.007398773$0.12
08-02 04:47Will Justin Liberto win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?BUY0.007398773$0.12
08-02 04:45Will Jesse Lonis win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?BUY0.007398773$0.12
08-01 22:10Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?SELL0.29$1.1k
08-01 22:10Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?SELL0.31$290.78
08-01 22:06Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?SELL0.32$251.20
08-01 22:05Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?SELL0.36$335.52
08-01 22:04Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?SELL0.38$21.01
08-01 16:08Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.23$1.5k
07-31 19:20Will Martin Kabrhel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?SELL0.001$0.02
07-30 00:18Will William Foxen win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?BUY0.26$4.94
07-29 17:36Will Martin Kabrhel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?SELL0.009$0.13