Winnnnnnning
0x533c789d479d445186ff8ec132fa7a27541c2658
- Realised P&L
- $-153.3k
- Volume
- $3.67M
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.2kat 0.682UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$44.0kat 0.673UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$26.6kat 0.467Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
- +$17.4kat 0.665Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$17.0kat 0.660Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:17 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.31 | $3.5k |
| 08-02 04:50 | Will Michael J Moncek win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.007398773 | $0.12 |
| 08-02 04:48 | Will Joshua Arieh win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.007398773 | $0.12 |
| 08-02 04:48 | Will Daniel Negreanu win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.007398773 | $0.12 |
| 08-02 04:47 | Will Justin Liberto win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.007398773 | $0.12 |
| 08-02 04:45 | Will Jesse Lonis win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.007398773 | $0.12 |
| 08-01 22:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.1k |
| 08-01 22:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.31 | $290.78 |
| 08-01 22:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.32 | $251.20 |
| 08-01 22:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.36 | $335.52 |
| 08-01 22:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.38 | $21.01 |
| 08-01 16:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.5k |
| 07-31 19:20 | Will Martin Kabrhel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 07-30 00:18 | Will William Foxen win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.26 | $4.94 |
| 07-29 17:36 | Will Martin Kabrhel cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.13 |