WUnderground
0x5337a3bce9cca845c4a67e9b4b2e87c40851b0c7
- Realised P&L
- $851.70
- Volume
- $36.0k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? · No | 0.585 | 0.685 | $734.55 | +$107.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 5? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.046 | $81.40 | +$64.55 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 5? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.056 | $70.36 | +$42.61 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 79°F or below on August 5? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.021 | $63.32 | +$21.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 4? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.153 | $62.85 | +$19.51 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.006 | $0.94 | +$0.77 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $0.09 | −$0.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$584.40at 0.010Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 30?
- +$351.27at 0.278Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 2?
- +$238.76at 0.089Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 3?
- +$234.54at 0.252Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 30?
- +$26.97at 0.195Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.1316153397 | $4.51 |
| 08-04 21:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.1438896933 | $19.28 |
| 08-04 20:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.0844037512 | $1.71 |
| 08-04 20:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.091 | $1.82 |
| 08-04 20:42 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 79°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.0229398787 | $5.75 |
| 08-04 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.0320763068 | $16.42 |
| 08-04 20:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 75°F or below on August 4? | SELL | 0.0051513921 | $6.52 |
| 08-04 19:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 75°F or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.0152469488 | $13.37 |
| 08-04 19:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.0430481162 | $1.90 |
| 08-04 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.0984269433 | $3.37 |
| 08-04 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.0573975654 | $21.31 |
| 08-04 18:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.0976181944 | $7.03 |
| 08-04 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 75°F or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.0102083333 | $0.98 |
| 08-04 15:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.052 | $2.60 |
| 08-04 15:16 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.03 |