Cmb101
0x52a6714a620084c544516c349387706fe1417be1
- Realised P&L
- $-101.85
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $9.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US congress stock trading ban before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.095 | $5.28 | −$4.72 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.037 | $3.75 | −$13.25 |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-01-06? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance · DR Congo | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.53at 0.170US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$-0.56at 0.180Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?
- +$-5.40at 0.370US strike on Mexico by December 31?
- +$-18.00at 0.150Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 15:33 | England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1299999929 | $15.00 |
| 05-16 14:06 | Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 03-18 16:13 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18? | BUY | 0.1799999958 | $30.00 |
| 02-28 23:54 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.38 | $33.53 |
| 02-16 15:55 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-21? | BUY | 0.15 | $18.00 |
| 02-16 15:54 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $14.59 |
| 01-20 11:12 | Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.0309999941 | $5.00 |
| 01-16 11:24 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 01-13 09:25 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1699999908 | $15.00 |
| 01-12 00:10 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.3699999887 | $20.00 |
| 01-05 23:38 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999888 | $11.00 |
| 01-05 23:18 | US congress stock trading ban before 2027? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 01-05 22:19 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-01-06? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 01-05 22:14 | Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.17 | $9.44 |
| 01-05 22:11 | Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |