adasol
0x5297f1e1d0f0584537af763652a0a5f874037b99
- Realised P&L
- $8.3k
- Volume
- $42.87M
- Markets traded
- 300
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded300
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.001Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.002Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$1.1kat 0.007Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$1.1kat 0.996Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.001Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:59 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.251 | $24.85 |
| 08-02 22:36 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3876190476 | $40.70 |
| 08-02 22:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.33 | $23.11 |
| 08-02 22:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $51.73 |
| 08-02 22:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $18.36 |
| 08-02 22:23 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.5899999995 | $120.00 |
| 08-02 22:19 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.019 | $34.86 |
| 08-02 22:19 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.02036324 | $122.18 |
| 08-02 22:14 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3578965185 | $966.32 |
| 08-02 22:14 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $95.42 |
| 08-02 22:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.4705443662 | $133.63 |
| 08-02 22:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4003678261 | $92.08 |
| 08-02 22:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.4806082645 | $116.31 |
| 08-02 22:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.4908 | $147.24 |
| 08-02 22:08 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.51037875 | $122.49 |