PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

adasol

0x5297f1e1d0f0584537af763652a0a5f874037b99

Realised P&L
$8.3k
Volume
$42.87M
Markets traded
300
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded300
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · No0.4550.380$861.43$169.11
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.5860.585$675.41$1.13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0310.021$312.34$136.77
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? · No0.5590.450$279.45$67.47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.5240.620$109.38+$16.84
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6380.555$103.73$15.49
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · Yes0.0640.055$99.00$17.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4630.335$80.21$30.68
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.1240.120$68.95$2.43
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · Yes0.0250.025$54.24+$0.11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.1100.140$28.70+$6.20
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6970.805$24.39+$3.27
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4130.145$22.89$42.39
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United? · Yes0.2000.706$17.64+$12.64
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes0.6140.575$13.12$0.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:59Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.251$24.85
08-02 22:36US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.3876190476$40.70
08-02 22:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.33$23.11
08-02 22:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.25$51.73
08-02 22:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.13$18.36
08-02 22:23US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.5899999995$120.00
08-02 22:19Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.019$34.86
08-02 22:19Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.02036324$122.18
08-02 22:14US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.3578965185$966.32
08-02 22:14US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.38$95.42
08-02 22:10US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.4705443662$133.63
08-02 22:10US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.4003678261$92.08
08-02 22:09US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.4806082645$116.31
08-02 22:09US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.4908$147.24
08-02 22:08US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.51037875$122.49