dfff
0x52571971a8abbda208093ba48f25a8cc7a981cc0
- Realised P&L
- $-9.42
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $1.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 85 mph? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.976 | $1.00 | −$0.01 |
| Will Trump say "Ass" in August? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.775 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Europe win the Laver Cup? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Honor of Kings: ONE Team vs One Star Esports - Game 1 Winner · One Star Esports | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.03 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 3, 3AM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.71at 0.700Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$0.97at 0.570Trump approval Up or Down this week?
- +$0.53at 0.960Will a Republican win Wyoming Presidential Election?
- +$0.35at 0.740USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
- +$0.28at 0.800Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 05:36 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 85 mph? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 05:36 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 85 mph? | SELL | 0.5 | $0.50 |
| 07-29 05:36 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 85 mph? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 05:35 | Will Trump say "Ass" in August? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 05:33 | Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.90 |
| 07-29 05:33 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.997 | $49.90 |
| 07-27 08:22 | Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 08:21 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 07-15 06:06 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.991 | $181.25 |
| 07-13 08:42 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.992 | $180.00 |
| 07-13 08:42 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.991 | $178.38 |
| 07-13 08:42 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.992 | $180.00 |
| 05-06 04:49 | Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $199.80 |
| 05-06 04:49 | Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.9906144776 | $199.11 |
| 05-06 04:49 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.996 | $100.40 |