Twixin
0x5231750231e7f3762f75aba9417af020fb5f10a2
- Realised P&L
- $277.56
- Volume
- $169.6k
- Markets traded
- 324
- Open portfolio
- $7.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded324
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.00at 0.080Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$74.59at 0.097Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$52.74at 0.153Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
- +$45.58at 0.257U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$44.60at 0.001Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:46 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.128 | $0.64 |
| 08-03 03:35 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.112 | $1.68 |
| 08-03 03:10 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.09 | $5.63 |
| 08-03 03:07 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 08-02 10:02 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? | BUY | 0.035 | $3.50 |
| 08-02 10:00 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.039 | $2.46 |
| 08-01 12:17 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in August? | SELL | 0.29 | $20.01 |
| 08-01 10:03 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in August? | BUY | 0.13 | $8.97 |
| 08-01 03:39 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.39 | $19.50 |
| 08-01 03:30 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.996 | $49.80 |
| 07-31 16:14 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 07-30 15:41 | Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31? | SELL | 0.015 | $2.96 |
| 07-30 15:41 | Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31? | SELL | 0.015 | $2.96 |
| 07-30 15:28 | Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31? | BUY | 0.0265638055 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 06:10 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.4380545388 | $35.66 |