0x520B4A0452005517964EE864985F2026d0DC100A-1769748516177
0x520b4a0452005517964ee864985f2026d0dc100a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $164.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,507
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,507
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.695Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?
- +$826.03at 0.427Will the State of the Union be 110 minutes or longer?
- +$791.32at 0.755Will the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer?
- +$468.68at 0.469Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$384.47at 0.414NYSE trading floor opening delayed Monday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-23 13:28 | Will the NYSE trading floor be closed on Monday? | BUY | 0.988 | $24.70 |
| 02-23 08:37 | U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.59 |
| 02-23 00:39 | NYSE trading floor opening delayed Monday? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.72 |
| 02-22 23:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 24? | BUY | 0.78 | $10.92 |
| 02-22 15:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 24? | BUY | 0.916 | $18.05 |
| 02-22 11:21 | Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.957 | $7.66 |
| 02-22 07:49 | Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.44 | $12.76 |
| 02-22 06:37 | Will MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.46 |
| 02-22 05:41 | Will MrBeast's latest video get 14–16 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.97 |
| 02-22 05:15 | Will MrBeast's latest video get 22–24 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.951 | $49.45 |
| 02-22 03:57 | Will MrBeast's latest video get 16–18 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.968 | $5.81 |
| 02-22 02:27 | Will MrBeast's latest video get 18–20 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 02-22 00:05 | Will there be 10–12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.23 |
| 02-22 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 23? | BUY | 0.65 | $4.55 |
| 02-21 22:07 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 23? | BUY | 0.83 | $6.64 |