0x5201cEe493c5C30b206aEE64Fd9D67db0b2934c3-1767477828039
0x5201cee493c5c30b206aee64fd9d67db0b2934c3
- Realised P&L
- $-565.80
- Volume
- $594.2k
- Markets traded
- 3,095
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,095
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.50at 0.924Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$94.05at 0.910France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$85.49at 0.953Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$68.16at 0.960Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$43.85at 0.882Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:22 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:22 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.81 | $6.48 |
| 08-04 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.81 | $6.48 |
| 08-04 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.81 | $7.49 |
| 08-04 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.233 | $2.33 |
| 08-04 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-04 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $30.58 |
| 08-04 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $319.68 |
| 08-04 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $12.87 |
| 08-04 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $245.52 |
| 08-04 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $7.84 |
| 08-04 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.97 | $18.88 |
| 08-04 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.89 |
| 08-04 03:02 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.7666842105 | $29.13 |
| 08-04 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.749 | $3.86 |