0x51fFe0db55b620b895CBD1116574d743F92f3d49-1776405906287
0x51ffe0db55b620b895cbd1116574d743f92f3d49
- Realised P&L
- $-172.26
- Volume
- $26.8k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $16.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.429 | 0.027 | $16.08 | −$239.35 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.50 |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors · Cavaliers | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.40 |
| Panathinaikos vs. Valencia · Panathinaikos | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.40 |
| Will Trump dance today? · No | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.60 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.67 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 2? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.28 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.63 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.20 |
| Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv · Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.82 |
| Pistons vs. Magic · Magic | 0.405 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.80 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder · Lakers | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.30at 0.521US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
- +$77.61at 0.119NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves
- +$59.12at 0.648US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
- +$40.89at 0.326Panathinaikos vs. Valencia
- +$24.20at 0.697Monaco vs. Olympiacos B.C.
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 07:37 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.1899999981 | $63.20 |
| 06-02 22:27 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.3987464732 | $9.89 |
| 06-02 22:15 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.3968924149 | $10.26 |
| 06-02 22:14 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.3951227855 | $45.05 |
| 05-21 09:00 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $291.58 |
| 05-21 08:57 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $10.12 |
| 05-21 08:54 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $24.36 |
| 05-21 08:54 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.8829538591 | $336.22 |
| 05-12 06:37 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.8397495392 | $209.55 |
| 05-12 06:36 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.83 | $24.90 |
| 05-12 06:27 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.82 | $83.02 |
| 05-12 04:38 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster? | BUY | 0.023 | $6.67 |
| 05-10 20:40 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.30 |
| 05-10 20:40 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.66 | $16.41 |
| 05-10 20:23 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.60 |