0x51fFC5292f8358FF613E4FaC9E027FCb547E6e2D-1772116538120
0x51ffc5292f8358ff613e4fac9e027fcb547e6e2d
- Realised P&L
- $26.36
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $2.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · Yes | 0.292 | 0.334 | $2.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.002 | $0.30 | −$1.70 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner · Kiwoom DRX | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.97 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Down | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET · Down | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.65 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 · HANJIN BRION | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.97 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Up | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.73 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1AM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Down | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.41at 0.170Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$14.19at 0.638Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
- +$10.63at 0.140Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
- +$10.05at 0.494Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
- +$8.18at 0.550Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 05:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.0098386462 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 05:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | SELL | 0.59 | $7.97 |
| 07-28 05:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 05:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 05:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $10.53 |
| 07-28 05:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 05:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9099998835 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 05:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 05:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 05:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.34 |
| 07-28 05:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 05:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 05:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 05:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 04:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |