Abrus77
0x51febe5f6ebf72e4b745f56409142b5bd3fe7061
- Realised P&L
- $299.20
- Volume
- $2.40M
- Markets traded
- 295
- Open portfolio
- $107.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded295
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.79at 0.001Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$33.88at 0.002Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$33.50at 0.003Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$21.25at 0.004Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$20.45at 0.002Will Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 16:33 | Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 06-02 16:19 | Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.75 |
| 06-02 16:18 | Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | SELL | 0.069 | $1.26 |
| 06-02 16:18 | Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | SELL | 0.063 | $1.14 |
| 04-28 21:12 | Will Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $2.53 |
| 04-28 21:10 | Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $5.00 |
| 04-28 20:50 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.003 | $9.00 |
| 04-28 20:50 | Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.003 | $7.50 |
| 04-28 20:47 | Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 04-28 20:45 | Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $8.40 |
| 04-28 20:44 | Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 04-28 20:43 | Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $3.75 |
| 04-28 20:35 | Will Diana Shnaider be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.40 |
| 04-28 20:34 | Will Ashlyn Krueger be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 04-28 20:34 | Will Laura Siegemund be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |