PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x51a4ca0cbf0006d975037a73262ff5fb597102d6

Realised P&L
$-9.7k
Volume
$134.8k
Markets traded
227
Open portfolio
$4.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded227
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.1000.075$1.4k$479.66
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.4100.285$1.1k$491.56
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1600.055$894.59$1.7k
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · No0.3230.135$687.80$957.34
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.3800.035$204.17$2.0k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yes0.2701.000$28.41+$20.74
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9961.000$20.51+$0.07
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9951.000$20.51+$0.09
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9951.000$20.51+$0.09
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9961.000$20.51+$0.07
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9961.000$20.51+$0.07
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9961.000$20.51+$0.07
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9961.000$20.51+$0.07
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9961.000$20.51+$0.07
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9961.000$20.51+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-16 17:29Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Xinyu Wang vs Sorana CirsteaBUY0.01$11.90
04-16 17:24Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Liudmila Samsonova vs Coco GauffBUY0.31$33.87
04-16 16:46AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5BUY0.55$56.37
04-16 15:45Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.5887276209$59.98
04-16 15:22Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.5920122753$65.87
04-16 15:11Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana ShnaiderBUY0.18$68.92
04-16 14:47Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika PodrezBUY0.3$79.94
04-16 14:46Oeiras 3: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jonas ForejtekBUY0.12$25.22
04-16 02:19Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5BUY0.5$11.64
04-16 02:13Busan: Pavel Kotov vs Leandro RiediBUY0.52$17.89
04-16 02:13Kraken vs. Golden KnightsBUY0.67$17.63
04-16 02:13Will América de Cali vs. Club Alianza Atlético end in a draw?BUY0.76$18.58
04-16 01:44Warriors vs. ClippersBUY0.67$23.98
04-16 01:40Spread: Independiente del Valle (-2.5)BUY0.69$25.80
04-16 00:59Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5BUY0.49$35.95
Trader 0x51a4…02d6 · PolyBot