ptds6688
0x51919686182c5cfeaee2cfbd11658ac8603f34c0
- Realised P&L
- $-61.60
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $367.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.361 | 0.415 | $114.22 | +$14.78 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.712 | 0.480 | $113.85 | −$55.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.421 | 0.365 | $110.21 | −$16.86 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.500 | $29.85 | +$17.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.25at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
- +$-0.07at 0.140Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5?
- +$-1.76at 0.280Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.7299999954 | $33.00 |
| 08-04 17:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2117252931 | $12.64 |
| 08-04 17:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.7299999967 | $40.39 |
| 08-04 17:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.7099999976 | $83.54 |
| 08-04 16:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6320363421 | $12.00 |
| 08-04 13:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3757413633 | $75.64 |
| 08-04 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.45 | $35.63 |
| 08-04 12:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4257425637 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 12:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.42 | $3.36 |
| 08-04 12:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.41 | $5.31 |
| 08-04 12:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.42 | $23.55 |
| 08-04 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4186168934 | $34.76 |
| 08-04 12:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.24 |
| 08-04 12:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4 | $27.60 |
| 08-04 12:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.56 |