PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x518EdAAf37F13c0C3075Bebea623e264B4b4CDd0-1730734126686

0x518edaaf37f13c0c3075bebea623e264b4b4cdd0

Realised P&L
$434.46
Volume
$42.8k
Markets traded
206
Open portfolio
$14.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded206
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0120.032$2.67+$1.67
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0020.002$1.50$0.50
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3160.214$1.36$0.64
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4590.515$1.12+$0.12
Will Doctor Doom die in Avengers: Doomsday? · No0.7900.860$1.09+$0.09
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00$1.00
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1200.060$1.00$1.00
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0380.034$0.88$0.12
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1060.090$0.85$0.15
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6060.484$0.80$0.20
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0180.013$0.75$0.25
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0170.011$0.68$0.32
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.042$0.60$0.40
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0550.021$0.54$0.86
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$0.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 00:12Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
07-23 23:20Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0379999641$1.00
07-22 17:39Rafael Devers: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.1899998784$1.00
07-22 07:45Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?SELL0.501$1.99
07-22 07:44Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
07-22 07:44Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0169999831$1.00
07-22 07:43Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.001$2.00
07-22 07:43Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.002$2.00
07-22 07:42Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1059999082$1.00
07-22 07:41Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.011999988$1.00
07-22 07:39Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
07-20 10:18Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.116$0.34
07-19 23:47Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6059997673$1.00
07-19 23:41Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL0.5$1.96
07-19 23:40Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999566$2.00