0x518EdAAf37F13c0C3075Bebea623e264B4b4CDd0-1730734126686
0x518edaaf37f13c0c3075bebea623e264b4b4cdd0
- Realised P&L
- $434.46
- Volume
- $42.8k
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $14.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$472.73at 0.002Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?
- +$63.65at 0.015Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
- +$34.42at 0.028Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$22.78at 0.042Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$13.93at 0.067Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 00:12 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 23:20 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0379999641 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 17:39 | Rafael Devers: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 07:45 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.501 | $1.99 |
| 07-22 07:44 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 07:44 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0169999831 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 07:43 | Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 07-22 07:43 | Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 07-22 07:42 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1059999082 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 07:41 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.011999988 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 07:39 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 10:18 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.116 | $0.34 |
| 07-19 23:47 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6059997673 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 23:41 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.5 | $1.96 |
| 07-19 23:40 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |