0x518c8B5f6b0B67f493D85BcDE15327D4166cd66
0x518c8b5f6b0b67f493d85bcde15327d4166cd366
- Realised P&L
- $-13.49
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $550.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.98at 0.670Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 1?
- +$19.43at 0.285Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2?
- +$6.46at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 31?
- +$5.99at 0.348Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 29?
- +$5.72at 0.656Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.07 |
| 08-03 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1099999112 | $1.04 |
| 08-03 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1099999112 | $1.04 |
| 08-03 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.04 |
| 08-03 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.77 |
| 08-03 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-03 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 08-03 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.47274 | $2.36 |
| 08-03 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-03 06:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4099999072 | $1.06 |
| 08-03 06:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.3399537037 | $2.20 |
| 08-03 06:44 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0699999414 | $1.04 |
| 08-03 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 08-03 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.82 |
| 08-03 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |