Leorfff
0x510759cbff32fc6f444a0367da801a95b764a634
- Realised P&L
- $-53.57
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $1.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.925 | $1.09 | +$0.01 |
| Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.575 | $0.74 | −$0.26 |
| Will the Brisbane Broncos win the 2025 National Rugby League? · No | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.99at 0.670Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?
- +$0.81at 0.740Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Girona?
- +$0.49at 0.670Lakers vs. Spurs
- +$0.45at 0.690Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-11-17?
- +$0.41at 0.830Will Bayer Leverkusen beat RB Salzburg?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-29 06:07 | Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.991 | $100.70 |
| 05-29 06:07 | Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.993 | $87.91 |
| 05-26 09:59 | Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.994 | $88.00 |
| 05-26 09:58 | Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.992 | $100.00 |
| 05-26 09:58 | Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.991 | $99.10 |
| 05-26 09:58 | Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.992 | $100.00 |
| 05-04 04:53 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.991 | $110.76 |
| 04-30 08:38 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.992 | $110.00 |
| 04-30 08:38 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.991 | $109.01 |
| 04-30 08:38 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.992 | $110.00 |
| 03-02 06:30 | Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.994 | $229.76 |
| 03-02 06:29 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $200.00 |
| 03-02 06:29 | Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.996100998 | $49.90 |
| 02-28 06:24 | Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.00 |
| 02-28 06:23 | Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $200.00 |