0x50e549c7e9d31e7Fc3997d833bB1FF631850a3a5-1777058770312
0x50e549c7e9d31e7fc3997d833bb1ff631850a3a5
- Realised P&L
- $-294.79
- Volume
- $69.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,666
- Open portfolio
- $64.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,666
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.10at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 4?
- +$66.97at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 3?
- +$56.63at 0.351Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 30?
- +$54.56at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 17?
- +$52.01at 0.329Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.96 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 16:35 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.39 | $5.85 |
| 08-04 14:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.93 |
| 08-04 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0332369668 | $0.70 |
| 08-04 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.84 |
| 08-04 10:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.97 | $26.94 |
| 08-04 06:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.96 |
| 08-04 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.1011111111 | $1.82 |
| 08-04 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1624779959 | $2.40 |