zengyixiong-
0x507414733639a78c38889f62a3b0ed4a01b0fcdd
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $396.7k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $380.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.408 | 0.272 | $380.80 | −$190.40 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.454 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.45at 0.160Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$98.53at 0.090US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
- +$82.09at 0.270Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$64.44at 0.228Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$55.52at 0.060US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 01:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.628 | $255.47 |
| 07-28 03:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29? | SELL | 0.027 | $29.70 |
| 07-28 02:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29? | BUY | 0.029 | $31.90 |
| 07-27 14:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28? | SELL | 0.0201819944 | $5.41 |
| 07-27 14:04 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28? | BUY | 0.021 | $5.63 |
| 07-22 02:21 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.419 | $10.47 |
| 07-22 02:21 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.427 | $10.67 |
| 07-20 09:34 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.44 | $337.29 |
| 07-20 09:24 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.441 | $105.84 |
| 07-19 03:51 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.5725294553 | $472.13 |
| 07-11 23:45 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.0025 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 01:57 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.3611530163 | $472.05 |
| 07-08 22:59 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.472 | $944.01 |
| 07-07 14:53 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.43 | $224.19 |
| 07-07 14:51 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.431 | $9.27 |