PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x5016f0e8552715c16619a3be5c0e07c77047017d

Realised P&L
$-266.92
Volume
$237.4k
Markets traded
144
Open portfolio
$10.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded144
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0040.004$6.65+$0.65
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? · Yes0.0010.001$2.00$2.00
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 29-July 5? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$3.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $10 in July? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 23? · No0.0010.000$0.00$6.00
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 29-July 5? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$6.00
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$4.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 23? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$3.00
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$3.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$2.00
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 15:02Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.001$1.00
08-02 15:01Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETSELL0.99$2.02
08-02 14:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.4899998285$1.00
08-02 14:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.8299992198$1.00
08-02 14:48Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.9399996992$1.00
08-02 14:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETSELL0.999$1.81
08-02 14:41Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.55$1.00
08-02 10:13BNB Up or Down - August 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
08-02 10:13BNB Up or Down - August 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
08-02 09:35BNB Up or Down - August 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
08-02 09:34BNB Up or Down - August 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
08-02 08:39Dogecoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
08-02 08:39Dogecoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
08-02 08:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
08-02 08:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00