0x4ff15da7f42454d32b620f1979fa5b6e755ee6e2
- Realised P&L
- $-2.21
- Volume
- $57.43
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $0.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.035 | $0.69 | −$0.71 |
| Spread: Portugal (-3.5) · Portugal | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Jordan? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.121 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.11 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? · No | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.48at 0.430Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
- +$1.12at 0.570Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 22:41 | Spread: Portugal (-3.5) | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 22:39 | Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Jordan? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 22:39 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.429999808 | $1.12 |
| 06-16 22:38 | Will England win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.5699998546 | $1.49 |
| 06-15 11:23 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1209999137 | $1.11 |
| 06-15 05:30 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 05:27 | Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |