0x4fe7ffe9b2799eb9d265b88e253dec3af1085ab1
- Realised P&L
- $-495.17
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $14.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shedeur Sanders be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.410 | $7.83 | +$4.01 |
| Will Matt Whitcher win the 2026 PLL Hard Hat Award (SSDM)? · Yes | 0.262 | 0.470 | $4.30 | +$1.90 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.170 | $1.70 | −$1.40 |
| Will Paulo Costa fight Carlos Ulberg next? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.470 | $0.64 | +$0.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.45at 0.500Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- +$0.00at 0.513Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
- +$0.00at 0.997Will Kathleen McLaughlin be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 13:33 | Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%? | BUY | 0.872 | $11.20 |
| 07-08 07:25 | Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $4.95 |
| 07-07 18:10 | Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? | BUY | 0.52 | $3.16 |
| 07-07 17:42 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.77 | $4.69 |
| 07-07 17:40 | Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.852 | $14.25 |
| 07-07 11:54 | Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? | BUY | 0.76 | $18.24 |
| 07-06 23:45 | Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.47 |
| 07-06 21:11 | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.5%? | BUY | 0.92 | $7.36 |
| 07-06 18:05 | Will Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.30 |
| 07-06 00:12 | Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.859 | $9.55 |
| 07-06 00:11 | Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.989 | $10.42 |
| 07-05 19:32 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.22 |
| 07-05 07:41 | Will Joy Eakins win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.39 |
| 07-04 06:44 | Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? | BUY | 0.993 | $12.79 |
| 07-04 04:22 | Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.00 |