Duos
0x4fdce844494c10e0e45a2fa2c794c536dfb30a4c
- Realised P&L
- $-6.43
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $12.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.979 | 0.977 | $12.97 | −$0.03 |
| Eric Adams out as NYC mayor before 2025? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.63at 0.420Seahawks vs. Falcons
- +$0.38at 0.680Scorigami in NFL Week 4?
- +$0.25at 0.800NYC mayoral special election in 2024?
- +$0.24at 0.790Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.18at 0.850Will Moo Deng be the first Pump.fun coin to $1b?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 09:09 | Will Plasma reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9789999992 | $13.00 |
| 10-18 05:27 | Seahawks vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.4199999146 | $1.18 |
| 10-12 09:52 | Will Barcelona win La Liga? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.00 |
| 09-29 17:12 | Will Moo Deng be the first Pump.fun coin to $1b? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 17:11 | NYC mayoral special election in 2024? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 15:08 | 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+ | SELL | 0.985 | $1.19 |
| 09-29 15:08 | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.55 |
| 09-29 15:08 | Will $BTC reach 70k before October? | SELL | 0.982 | $1.98 |
| 09-29 15:07 | Will Kamala Harris be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.0k |
| 09-29 15:07 | Will a candidate from another party win US Michigan Senate Election? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.20 |
| 09-29 14:56 | Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.7899999566 | $0.91 |
| 09-29 14:56 | Scorigami in NFL Week 4? | BUY | 0.679999796 | $0.80 |
| 09-29 14:55 | Who will win the VP debate according to polls? | BUY | 0.7099999112 | $1.60 |
| 09-29 14:55 | 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+ | BUY | 0.9889999934 | $1.20 |
| 09-29 14:55 | Will a candidate from another party win US Michigan Senate Election? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.20 |