0x4fd591cd13d8843e9733CA05659eBEF07e6dC897-1770066819663
0x4fd591cd13d8843e9733ca05659ebef07e6dc897
- Realised P&L
- $-542.74
- Volume
- $80.4k
- Markets traded
- 310
- Open portfolio
- $812.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded310
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.200Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$231.61at 0.217Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
- +$73.33at 0.120Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
- +$66.16at 0.272Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
- +$54.58at 0.808Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.6889655172 | $99.90 |
| 08-04 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.6524915614 | $150.00 |
| 08-04 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.6212391138 | $250.00 |
| 08-04 19:33 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5862652724 | $270.00 |
| 08-04 17:41 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.63 |
| 08-04 17:40 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 16:46 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2770574014 | $200.00 |
| 08-04 16:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 16:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 16:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 16:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 16:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 16:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 16:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 16:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999446 | $2.00 |