PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Taka-san

0x4f26c848c4b3ee2366994419d833e1b1df6fae73

Realised P&L
$-216.99
Volume
$24.5k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$26.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR? · No0.9250.979$9.79+$0.54
Will BNB reach $1300 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.055$4.27$0.39
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.030$4.18$1.30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? · Yes0.0800.065$3.31$0.76
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.2800.295$3.16+$0.16
Will Jonathan Taylor be on the cover of Madden NFL 27? · No0.9500.974$2.14+$0.05
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $212 Week of July 6 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$7.60
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17? · Yes0.9400.000$0.00$4.70
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on July 10? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.47
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on July 7? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$3.95
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 25? · Yes0.3850.000$0.00$22.46
Will Solana reach $110 in June? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.22
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 June 22-28? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.22
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$2.18
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$13.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 16:02Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 20?BUY0.001$0.01
07-12 14:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 12?BUY0.37$3.00
07-10 08:57Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on July 10?BUY0.0046815287$1.47
07-10 01:07Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in July?BUY0.014$0.39
07-09 16:18Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.9370530452$4.77
07-08 19:42Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?BUY0.0170280427$7.18
07-08 19:42Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in July?BUY0.013979051$5.89
07-07 18:27James Rodríguez: 1+ goalsBUY0.89$4.45
07-06 02:55Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 6?BUY0.792$4.51
07-04 03:25Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?BUY0.9$4.50
07-02 16:25Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on July 2?BUY0.9$4.50
06-28 18:17Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-28?BUY0.94$5.36
06-28 18:17FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?BUY0.928$5.29
06-28 17:33Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be greater than $495,000 on June 30?BUY0.0046399845$0.36
06-28 17:33Will Solana reach $110 in June?BUY0.001$0.22