PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

sp3daytona

0x4f14c1ef4f8009de714e8237455dfc6ba822026e

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$134.1k
Markets traded
186
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded186
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2500.747$895.42+$595.42
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.2060.118$363.77$269.22
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.5700.055$9.65$90.35
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00$50.00
Will Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$20.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.3140.000$0.00$100.00
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$50.00
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$50.00
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9? · No0.1800.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump say "Frack" or "Fracking" during Pennsylvania events on December 9? · No0.3150.000$0.00$20.00
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$50.00
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$50.00
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9? · No0.3770.000$0.00$20.00
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$50.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1060.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-30 09:24Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsBUY0.5799999979$100.00
06-30 09:23Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsBUY0.5399999981$100.00
06-30 03:11Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY0.25$50.00
06-30 03:10Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?BUY0.1199999981$50.00
06-30 03:10Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY0.3399999967$50.00
06-30 03:10Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?BUY0.299999997$50.00
06-30 03:10Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY0.2799999969$50.00
06-30 03:10Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?BUY0.1799999976$50.00
06-30 03:10Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?BUY0.1899999975$50.00
06-30 03:10Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY0.299999997$50.00
06-30 03:09Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY0.1799999976$50.00
06-30 03:09Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?BUY0.3399999967$50.00
06-30 03:09Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?BUY0.16$50.00
06-30 03:09Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?BUY0.2799999969$50.00
06-30 00:37Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5BUY0.5699999991$100.00