sp3daytona
0x4f14c1ef4f8009de714e8237455dfc6ba822026e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $134.1k
- Markets traded
- 186
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded186
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$771.21at 0.115Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$765.78at 0.395Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?
- +$643.17at 0.609Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?
- +$639.09at 0.319US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$618.92at 0.139Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 09:24 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 06-30 09:23 | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $100.00 |
| 06-30 03:11 | Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 03:10 | Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1199999981 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 03:10 | Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3399999967 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 03:10 | Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.299999997 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 03:10 | Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999969 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 03:10 | Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1799999976 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 03:10 | Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1899999975 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 03:10 | Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.299999997 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 03:09 | Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1799999976 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 03:09 | Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3399999967 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 03:09 | Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 03:09 | Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999969 | $50.00 |
| 06-30 00:37 | Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $100.00 |