0x4f0a7431079A2Ec481c6C0eb5ac15A9A56772765-1773520327481
0x4f0a7431079a2ec481c6c0eb5ac15a9a56772765
- Realised P&L
- $-778.13
- Volume
- $29.9k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $148.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.195 | $99.81 | −$7.68 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.065 | $48.66 | −$3.26 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.03 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.24 |
| Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.43 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.08at 0.150Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
- +$44.60at 0.092Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
- +$24.90at 0.120Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
- +$4.44at 0.120Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
- +$1.92at 0.200US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 17:31 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.28 |
| 07-19 11:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July? | BUY | 0.11 | $26.15 |
| 07-19 10:59 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July? | SELL | 0.0595033796 | $18.75 |
| 07-19 10:59 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July? | BUY | 0.069485863 | $21.90 |
| 07-19 10:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July? | SELL | 0.030858019 | $17.61 |
| 07-19 10:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July? | SELL | 0.0606368591 | $18.36 |
| 07-06 10:22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July? | BUY | 0.0879999972 | $26.64 |
| 07-05 23:21 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July? | BUY | 0.0559999944 | $9.00 |
| 07-05 23:15 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July? | BUY | 0.054 | $1.03 |
| 07-05 22:53 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July? | BUY | 0.05 | $19.55 |
| 06-15 17:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | BUY | 0.0915230479 | $30.58 |
| 05-26 18:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | SELL | 0.02 | $30.03 |
| 05-20 10:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? | SELL | 0.009 | $14.40 |
| 05-20 10:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | SELL | 0.0314519352 | $31.45 |
| 05-17 23:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY | 0.18 | $128.94 |