PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4f0a7431079A2Ec481c6C0eb5ac15A9A56772765-1773520327481

0x4f0a7431079a2ec481c6c0eb5ac15a9a56772765

Realised P&L
$-778.13
Volume
$29.9k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$148.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? · Yes0.2100.195$99.81$7.68
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August? · Yes0.0690.065$48.66$3.26
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$66.03
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$10.24
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$15.43
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$26.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 17:31Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August?BUY0.07$0.28
07-19 11:00Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?BUY0.11$26.15
07-19 10:59Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?SELL0.0595033796$18.75
07-19 10:59Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?BUY0.069485863$21.90
07-19 10:58Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?SELL0.030858019$17.61
07-19 10:58Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?SELL0.0606368591$18.36
07-06 10:22Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?BUY0.0879999972$26.64
07-05 23:21Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?BUY0.0559999944$9.00
07-05 23:15Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?BUY0.054$1.03
07-05 22:53Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?BUY0.05$19.55
06-15 17:00Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?BUY0.0915230479$30.58
05-26 18:00Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?SELL0.02$30.03
05-20 10:34Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?SELL0.009$14.40
05-20 10:34Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?SELL0.0314519352$31.45
05-17 23:59Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?BUY0.18$128.94